Sunday, March 21, 2010

Separatist myth vs. facts: “Sri Lanka was never under unified rule during the time of the Sinhala kings”

Lies and damned lies

After the crushing defeat of LTTE terrorists last year, the overseas supporters of the terrorists have shifted into overdrive in spreading the outragoeous argument that Sri Lanka was never under unified rule during the time of the Sinhala kings. Whether it is LTTE's Tamilnet propaganda outlet last month(1) or supporters of separatism from days gone by, such as Dharini Rajasingham-Senanayake(2), the claim is that British unified the administration of Lanka for the first time in 1833, and, upon granting independence to the inhabitants of the island, handed this unitary state to a Sinhalese controlled government in the year of 1948.

We as patriots and defenders of integrity of our motherland should always be aware of the true facts with regards to the history of Sri Lanka. The history of the ancient period of Sri Lanka is the history of monarchical rule. Here is historian S. Pathmanathan on the subject of the Sinhalese monarchy(3):

An outstanding feature of the Sinhalese monarchy is its almost unbroken continuity lasting for nearly two thousand years and its close connections with Buddhist institutions. No dynastic state has ever had such a continuity and stability in the neighboring Indian subcontinent from where the culture and political ideas of the ancient Sinhalese were mostly derived. Nor could any of the kingdoms in some of the countries of South-East Asia-Burma, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam — where Buddhism exerted a profound influence, lay claim to such a long continuity and historical experience. The long and unbroken continuity and stability in the political and cultural tradition of the Sinhalese kingdom (s) was partly the result of the protection, provided by the island's insularity, the island's manageable territorial dimensions and the physiographic features which permitted control over a major part of it from a single dynastic centre before the thirteenth century. Another contributory factor was probably the absence of social classes able to challenge dynastic authority

To examine this concept of territorial integrity and unified rule by Sinhalese monarchs we need to examine how the Sri Lankan state came to be formed during earliest period of its history, how it evolved, and the nature of it leading up to the arrival of European powers, the Portuguese, the Dutch, and the British.

Early State Building

According to Mahavamsa, the story of man in Sri Lanka begins with the arrival there, sometime in the 5th century BC, of Vijaya the legendary founder of the Sinhalese. Beneath this charming exercise in myth-making lurks a kernel of historical truth – the colonization of the island by Indo-Aryan tribes from northern India(4). These settlements were established and developed in several parts of the island from about the fifth century BC. The earliest settlers were those on the west-central coast who pushed inland along the banks of Malvatu Oya and founded a number of riverbank settlements. Their seat of government was Upatissagama where the first ‘Kings’ of the Vijayan dynasty reigned. The settlers on the east coast would have moved inland along the Mahaveli River. Somewhat later, there was an independent band of immigrants who settled in Rohana in the south-east, on the mouth of Valave River. The settlers came in numerous clans or tribes. Among these clans were families of nobility, the Lambakannas, Moriyas, Kalingas, Tarachchas, Balibhojakas and others. By 250 BC, there is evidence of a recognizably literate culture in the main areas of settlements – a contribution of early Indo-Aryan settlers – even though the outlaying communities may have remained pre-literate(5).


According to historian K.M. DeSilva it is not possible to draw a firm conclusion on the process of political evolution that led to the emergence of a kingdom unifying the whole island under its sway. The inscriptional evidence points to a situation where Anuradhapura kingdom, which was founded by Pandukabaya, the third king of the Vijayan dynasty, as merely the strongest, among several in the northern plains and in the Malaya and Rohana regions. This structure had not changed substantially during the rule of Devanampiya Tissa, though he held a consecration ceremony, and assumed the title Devanampiya Tissa maharaja. In spite of this, other rulers on the island did not readily acknowledge his sovereignty. The influence he had in the southern kingdom of Rohana was minimal despite the establishment of the Kingdom at Mahagama by Mahanaga, his brother. This collateral branch of the royal house at Anuradhapura eventually unified Rohana and thereafter established control over the whole island as well. It took them a century and a half to achieve it. The key figure in the unification of the south was Kavantissa, during whose rule the authority of Mahagama began to be felt throughout Rohana. His son and successor Dutthagamani took the offensive against Elara, the Dravidian usurper of the northern kingdom, and established control over the whole island. It was, in fact, the first significant success of centripetalism over centrifugalism in the island history.(6)


The classical Sinhalese kingdom of Anuradhapura

The kingdom of Anuradhapura, the classical Sinhalese kingdom, lasted nearly 1,500 years and the city of Anuradhapura lasted as long as the capital city. It was the capital of the island kingdom since the time of King Dutthagamani (161-137 BC) to the end of the 10th century, longevity unmatched by any other capital city in south Asia. The political history of the kingdom can be divided into three distinct phases or periods.

The first phase is the early Anuradhapura period, the kingdom’s first seven centuries to the reign of Dhatusena in the 5th century, the principle feature of which was the rise and consolidation of power. The middle period saw considerable instability, particularly in the 7th century, and the regular entry of Tamil mercenaries brought to the island by Sinhalese kings to help prop up their power, or by the aspirants to the throne.(7) The late Anuradhapura kingdom saw two centuries of political stability, the 8th and 9th centuries, followed by century of increasing stress and instability as the Sinhalese kingdom struggled to cope with external threats from south Indian kingdoms. Those threats became more formidable in the 10th century and culminated in the absorption, if not the kingdom itself, of at least most of it, under the Chola empire(8), while the great city of Anuradhapura ceased to be the capital city.


The Polonnaruva Kingdom

The expulsion of the invading Cholas from the kingdom happened after a long war of liberation and the restoration of a Sinhalese dynasty on the throne of Sri Lanka under King Vijayabahu I. The return to order and authority became solidified under King Parakramabahu I, the remarkable king who achieved such a tremendous amount of constructive achievement in administration, economic rehabilitation(9), religion and culture. After him the only Polonnaruva king to rule over the whole island was Nissanka Malla, who gave the country a brief decade of order and stability before the speedy and catastrophic break-up of the hydraulic civilization of the dry zone. The collapse of the ancient Sinhalese kingdom of the dry zone is one of the major turning points of Sri Lankan history.(10) The Magha’s invasion and the orgy of destruction in which his cohorts indulged is regarded as the main cause in the disintegration of Sri Lanka’s hydraulic civilization.


The Fragmentation of the Sri Lankan Polity and Arrival of the Portuguese

In the quest for safety against invasion from south India, Polonnaruva was abandoned after Magha’s rule and the next three kings ruled from Dambadeniya. One ruler made Yapahuva his royal residence and another Kurunegala. Sinhalese power again shifted from Kurunegala to the central mountains further to the south, a region that has never in the past been a center of civilization. It was in the 14th century that a kingdom was set up in Gampola on the Mahaveli River as its capital. In the second half of the 14th century, the fortunes of the Sinhalese reached their nadir. The writ of the Gampola kings appears to have run in Rohana as well as the western sea board(11), but for a short period in the 14th century, Jaffna under the Aryacakravartis was the most powerful kingdom on the island. They seemed poised for establishment of Tamil supremacy over Sri Lanka, but were foiled in this by the defeat inflicted by the forces of the Gampola kings in 1380(12).


The Jaffna kingdoms’ expansion southwards had been checked, but the Sinhalese had no reason to believe that this had been halted for good. The capital of the Sinhalese kingdom was moved once more, this time from the mountains to the west coast near Colombo, to Kotte. In 1411, Parakramabahu VI began what was to be a very long reign of fifty-five years founded what came to be called the Kotte kingdom(13). His greatest achievement was to check what seemed to be a well-nigh irreversible trend – the break-up of Sri Lankan polity. He was the first Sinhalese king since the days of Parakramabahu I and Nissanka Malla to bring the whole island under his rule, the last ever to do so. Within forty years of his death, the Kotte kingdom, weakened by internal disputes, faced the formidable challenge of the Portuguese in the first phase of Sri Lanka’s long encounter with western colonialism, an encounter that lasted till the middle of the 20th century.


Conclusion

It is not possible to say that Sri Lanka was ruled as united country for a straight 2500 years. No country in the world can boast of such an achievement. However, neither was Sri Lanka always ruled as multiple polities by multiple sets of kings, as implied by the Tamil separatist movement. Certainly, the territory under the ancient Sinhala kings did not remain constant. Some kings gained territory, others lost parts of it. There were bouts of civil war. Subordinate rulers tried to take advantage of this. But Sri Lanka has been viewed as a unified whole during ancient times. That unity may have been in some cases conceptual more than territorial. It may have included only a formal recognition of the sole consecrated ruler, but this signifies an understanding of the concept of territorial unity. It is up to us, the die-hard patriots, to counter this vile separatist claim whenever and wherever we encounter it.


Notes:
1. Myth of Sri Lankan state and the historic responsibility of Tamil leadership, http://www.tamilnet.com/art.html?catid=13&artid=31246
2. Dharini Rajasingham-Senanayake, Pravada vol 5 (2) 1997 P-17
3. S. Pathmanathan, Sri Lanka Journal of Humanities Vol 8(1) 1982 p 122
4. Basham, ‘Prince Vijaya and the Aryanisation of Ceylon’, pp. 172-91 and Mendis, ‘Pali Chronicles’, pp. 56-71
5. K. M. DeSilva, A History of Sri Lanka, pp. 8-9
6. K. M. DeSilva, A History of Sri Lanka, pp. 14-17
7. Kiribammune, ‘Tamils in Ancient and Medieval Sri Lanka’, pp. 14-15
8. On the Cholas and Sri Lanka see Spencer, ‘The politics of expansion’
9. Nicholas, ‘The irrigation works of King Parakramabahu I’, pp. 52-68
10. See Indrapala, ‘The Collapse of the Rajarata Civilization'
11. On Gampola kings see Abeyasinghe, 'The History of the Kandyan Kingdom', pp. 429-47
12. Kulasuriya, 'Regional Independence', pp. 136-55
13. Somaratne, 'Political History of the Kingdom of Kotte'

1,304 comments:

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Diyasena said...

SK,

Badulla has been announced already and none for DNA..

DNA is unlikely to get one in galle either..But Kaluthara there is a chance

Diyasena said...

SK,

DNA had less than 5% in Badulla..As Badulla has 7 seats (+ bonus) DNA would have needed at least 7.2% to win a seat..

(100/7)/2

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Gampaha:

UPFA - 65% UNP - 27% DNA - 8%

20seats -> 100%/19 = 5.26% per seat

Seats: UPFA - 12.25[+bonus] UNP - 5.23 DNA 1.52

Remainders: UPFA - 0.25 UNP - 0.23 DNA 0.52

So we're looking at a 13-5-2 result from Gampaha. Numbers may vary as Gampaha is not homogenous demographically.

Diyasena said...

SK,

Gampaha has only 18 seats..

So 100/17

My prediction is 12-5-1

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

DiyaS;

My calculation of Badulla was wrong. I'm not sure whether we remove < 5% groups?

If not, when you have lots of small parties with significant % values.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

I think they increased the seats in Gampaha.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

DiyaS;

You seem to e right about Gampaha.

Revised....

Gampaha:

UPFA - 65% UNP - 27% DNA - 8%

18seats -> 100%/17 = 5.88% per seat

Seats: UPFA - 11.05[+bonus] UNP - 4.69 DNA 1.36

Remainders: UPFA - 0.25 UNP - 0.69 0DNA 0.36

Yes it now looks to be a 12-5-1

Diyasena said...

Have you guys noticed there is no comments whatsoever on dailymirror on the results..The 'God save Sri Lanka', "Zimbabwe, Burma' people are in shock and awe :)

SR @ LK said...

Way to calculate the allocation of seats:

http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90777/90851/6943700.html

Ananda-USA said...

Oops! I made some stupid typo. mistakes in the numbers of my previous OPTIMISTIC projection!

(e.g., UPFA winning more than the total number of seats for a district)

Here is the corrected one!
............
District UPFA
Colombo 10
Gampaha 13
Kaluthara 9
Mahanuwara 7
Matale 4
Nuwaraeliya 4
Galle 8
Matara 6
Hambantota 6
Jaffna 3
Vanni 1
Batticaloa 1
Digamadulla 3
Trincomalee 2
Kurunegala 11
Puttalam 5
Anuradhapura 7
Polonnaruva 4
Badulla 5
Moneragala 4
Ratnapura 8
Kegalle 6

TOTAL 127
National List 19
Grand Total 146

Moshe Dyan said...

diyas,

not convinced yet mate.

COL-19-53%-11
GAM-18-65%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-55%-7
MAT-5-61%-3
NUW-7-55%-4
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-30%-2
VAN-6-10%-1
BAT-5-15%-1
DIG-7-45%-3
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-62%-10
PUT-8-52%-5
ANU-9-62%-6
POL-5-68%-4
BAD-8-58%-5
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-67%-7
KEG-9-66%-6

total = 134

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Re: Low vote rate

I expected this in Jaffna. But in south it is a pathetic low. Why...

1. Jilmart lethargy:

The devil's conspirators had their sweat return. Those who spread nonsense about a Jilmart made their hardcore voters not only believe it but also loose faith in elections. I know so many Swan suporters who said "there is no point voting now". Hok hok ho. It is such a sweet return on the liars and conspirators.

2. The dislike on Govt:

COmpared to what ppl expected from MR he gave a very bad overall return. We still support him for two reasons.

a. development and good strong leadership

b. no other patriotic and sensible leadership in any other party.

However for ppl to really vote for you you ought to be more accountable. Nepotism and corruption shud be lesser. And MR admin showed so many times that they do not give a crap on what ppl think of such things.

So ppl are intelligent taht they do not vote for enemies of teh nation. They do not miss teh jungle for teh trees. But they do not vote.

It is a stark message to MR that there are so many watching curiously. Hope it is well read.

3. Thuggary:

Last thing you want is to get mauled while trying to vote. UPFA and JVP were going with high adrenaline this time. Notably the internal conflict in UPFA for pref votes. It is very ugly and it may disciurage the voters on last moment.


So The messgae of non-voters is far more worthy reading tahn voters. Everyone has their bit to read.

Moshe Dyan said...

maximum i will go is 137.

cannot see winning more seats than that.

Swarnajith Udana said...

According to Lankadeepa, MR.Evil Gobble, The Messiah of True Sun Gods and the Long beak gods has secured a seat from Matara.


The pain is unbearable.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ananda;

Kalutara 9? Out of 10?

Also Galle Gampaha and few others may need a little more to get that much. You know some math probability but those are little highend.

I guess 140 seats it will be.

Moshe Dyan said...

SK,

i think the new year also played a big part.

since friday was declared a holiday, ppl would also take monday off. election was seen as a hindrance to last minute new year shopping, etc.

no excitement also played a BIG role.

last election was highly tensed and exciting. ppl's participation was high. this time ppl didn't feel the excitement = the need to go and vote.

also immediately after a tensed election, this was taken lightly by the ppl.

too many elections. BR the bloody idiot who wanted to hold PC elections on a staggered basis must be responsible for this.

at least now govt should not hold elections for sometime. but then the LG election is due in 2010!!!

ppl will get utterly fed-up!!

if too many elections syndrome become worse, ppl will want CHANGE no matter what.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ranil ge gal kolla paradayi. Gal master dinum. See Matara pref results.

Ananda-USA said...

Island wide results of Sri Lanka general election delayed until completion of re-poll in several centers

ColomboPage News Desk, Sri Lanka.

Apr 09, Colombo: Sri Lanka Elections Department will not officially release the island wide results of the 2010 general election until the final results of the Nawalapitiya electorate in the Kandy district is released after the re-poll in several polling divisions in Nawalapitiya.

The Elections Commissioner earlier decided to annul the votes at several centers in Nawalapitiya following complaints of elections malpractices. The Department is to gazette the re-polling at the disputed centers.

Meanwhile, results from one of the centers in Kumburupitiya, in Trincomalee District has also been annulled by the Elections Department since a group had forced their way into the center and stolen most of the ballot papers.

Election officials said a decision would now be taken if a re-poll will be conducted in the respective center.

Apart from those incidences, the overall election was free and fair and peaceful, the election officials told media.

However, the election monitors disagreeing with the officials said they will be discussing the malpractices took place with the Election Commissioner.

Ananda-USA said...

Announced FINAL Results - To be Updated

District
UPFA/UNP/DNA/ITAK/AITC

Colombo

Gampaha

Kalutara

Mahanuwara

Matale

Nuwaraeliya

Galle

Matara
6/2/0/0/0
Hambantota
5/2/0/0/0
Jaffna

Vanni

Batticaloa

Digamadulla

Trincomalee

Kurunegala

Puttalam

Anuradhapura

Polonnaruva

Badulla
6/2/0/0/0
Moneragala
4/1/0/0/0
Ratnapura

Kegalle

TOTAL

National List

Grand Total

Diyasena said...

The way things are atm..

UPFA..

COL- 11
GAM- 12
KAL- 07
KAN- 08
KUR-10
KEG-07
GAL- 07
MAT- 06
HAM-05
MAT-04
MON-04
POL-04
BAD-06
RAT-07
ANU-07
NUW-03
PUT-06
JAF-03
VAN-01
BAT-01
DIG-04
TRI-02

125 + National list list 18

= 143

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Galle after all electorates are completed:
percentages: 66%-26%-8% ->
seats: 5.96[+1]-2.34-0.72 ->
rounded: 7-2-1


SR@LK;

it is easier with % than numbers. Same algo though.

Diyasena said...

WTF??

The Bhoomiputra Party got 26% of the vote in Kekirawa??? They nearly beat UNP..

A typo for DNA maybe???

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Heard taht Muthu tops the list in Galle with 124k pref votes.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

DiyaS;

Looks like that a powerful UPFA man was not given nomination from UPFA and Bumis have taken him. All the votes are taken from UPFA.

But sadly his total of kekirawa won't be enough, unless he does the same in few other electorates.

Ananda-USA said...

Sri Lanka's ruling party wins election

AMAL JAYASINGHE
April 9, 2010 - 3:29PM

"We have won the election," said Transport Minister and UPFA spokesman Dullas Alahaperuma, who predicted the collated results would give his party 138 to 142 seats in the 225-member parliament.

Diyasena said...

Sujeewa K,

But why would Bhoomiputhra do that? Isn't their leader on the UPFA national list? I thought they were on the ballot to allow for more UPFA polling agents..

Diyasena said...

Dulles agrees with the final figure I predicted yesterday 140+/-2 :)

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Muthu has topped galle list with 124k pref votes as per SMS. This is incidentally teh number he said for his "actual" PC election which he claimed as robbed.

Hell breaks loose.

Ananda-USA said...

Sujeewa,

I think the main reason for the low vote rate is that the opposition voters have become discouraged, lost confidence in their leaders, and have given up.

Rather than go to the polls, they stayed at home and did nothing.

Also, some UPFA voters did not vote, because they thought the UPFA was certain to win big, and their votes were not critical to ensuring victory.

Thusitha said...

Sujeewa Kokawala said...
Muthu has topped galle list with 124k pref votes as per SMS. This is incidentally teh number he said for his "actual" PC election which he claimed as robbed.

Hell breaks loose.

----------------------------------
Isn't this guy a Nut case? So how come he gets such a high vote?

Swarnajith Udana said...

Mervin is in the third place in Gampaha.

Nisal said...

MERVYN AMONG FIRST THREE IN GAMPAHA?

- ada derana

Diyasena said...

UPFA takes Kalkudah in Batti..

http://www.srilankanelections.com/results/12A_pd_acr.html

2nd big surprise of the day (after Boomiputra in Kekirawa)

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ananda/Moshe;

There are two reasons mainly.

Yes teh Jilmart backfired and so many did not vote imagining of a computer generated result. Also the repeated loss has discouraged the opposition.

Yet i cannot agree with Ananda taht majority of the 40%-45% non voters are opposition numbers. If taht is true it means in SL, the actual govt support is ~55%. It si grossly diff to what I feel.

So there is a huge non-voting block in UPFA too. In my opinion the voters of UPFA are not 100% in their heart to vote. The preference % in their heart is like 55% or 60%. Some of them [floating voters] may even feel less than 50% desire to vote for UPFA. But the problem is they have no other option, but to refrain from voting. No sensible person can vote this opposition.

Imprving vtaht pref % in teh heart thing is solely upto MR. arrogance and dogmatic behavior shud be stopped and they gotta be more accountable for ppl.

A 2/3 of 1970 took just 7 years to turn a 1/6. No kidding here too.

Diyasena said...

"Mervin 3rd Place in Gampaha"

That will be the third surprise of the day

SR @ LK said...

SK:

Can you apply the formula (based on %) for Badulla? How come UPFA get 6 there?

http://www.slelections.gov.lk/pdf/ConParli.pdf

This (14th amendment - para 6 (a) says any party polling less than 1/8th of the total polled is disqualified. That is 12.5% - Was this amended once again?

Diyasena said...

EPDP and DPLF went alone in Wanni? What idiocy? UPFA could have got a second seat if not for this foolery..

Ananda-USA said...

Sujjewa,

But did you factor in that at least 30% of the registered voters NEVER VOTE, even when the turnout is very high?

So, if 55% of the electorate voted in this election, we are talking only about 15% of the voters not voting.

Diyasena said...

SR@ LK

Now it's only 5%..So only UPFA and UNP percentages are counted..

UPFA new percentage= (58.25 x 100)/90.53 = 64.34

UNP New percentage= (32.28 x 100)/90.53= 35.66

Therfore
UPFA seats 64.34 / (100/7) =4.504 seats

UNP seats 35.66/ (100/7) =2.496 seats..

So when rounded UPFA got 5 (+1 bonus) and UNP 2..The 6th seat for UPFA came by 0.05 difference..

SR @ LK said...

Diyasena:

Thanks a lot and pardon for my ignorance.

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

So mervin and mongala have won?!?!

Any news about our other pet hates... Mano and Hakeem. Hakeem will win for sure, and probably Mano too. They will secure the minority manape and ride the die hard UNP vote into the parliament

Diyasena said...

The outer suburbs of Colombo are total a dissapointment for the UPFA..Looks like 10-7-2..

Diyasena said...

SR@LK

No worries..Hopefully this stupid system gets changed soon..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

[[But did you factor in that at least 30% of the registered voters NEVER VOTE, even when the turnout is very high?]]

Indeed. But that entire 15% or almost all of it cannot be purely of opposition, if I go by PE result there is a huge amount of UPFA support base that has not voted.

Diyasena said...

Ananda aiya,

SK is right..This fact is most apparent in the outer suburbs of Colombo..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Colombo predicted:

46%-42%-12% ->
8.28[+1]-7.56-2.16->
9-8-2

As at now.

Kebewa, A'wella, Moratuwa yet to come so. We can hope to see UPFA % gaining and UNP reducing.

10-7-2 is a good guyess.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Re: COlombo outer suburs

Some ppl [UPFA] think taht general arrest is revenge. And general's boost in votes is thanks to arrest. He and JVP never had this big amount of individual support especially in pro-UPFA regions.

Re: Mervin

Before the election ppl from Kelaniya told taht whatever the crap he does,he builds drains and roads etc in the region. It is a commendable factor even for teh monster idiot.

Plus during teh campaign it was known that Mervin breaches teh agreement of not canvessing inothers regions and top is silent over taht as usual. These are rumours tho.

Re: Mangala

It was Sa-gala vs Mon-gala. I like to see one idiot loosing among the two.

Re: Bumiputhra

I love to se one in Parliament for a change.

Ananda-USA said...

My Comment_#114 at DBSJ's Blog

...............
#112 sjoseph said ...

[Its stange there is no response from any nationalists who proclaim “One people, One Nation and One destiny”?

Does “one people” means – Govigama?]

OK, OK .. I will respond to that.

I chose not to respond to that OBVIOUS attempt to incite caste hatred among the Sinhalese by saying that Sarath Fonseka's troubles were because he was not a Govigama. Nothing could be further from the truth. Caste is not an issue among Sinhala people, we buried it long ago and moved on aided by the teachings of Buddhism. Today, only communal minded people try to make it one in their desperate attempt to drive wedges into the Sinhala community. It won't work.

On the other hand, caste is unfortunately a major issue, among Tamil people, be it the high caste Vellalas, or the low untouchable castes still denied entry to Hindu temples and high-caste homes. I know this well, for long ago some of my Tamil university classmates came from Jaffna to Colombo to borrow my class notes, rather than walk down the street to a high-caste Tamil home in Jaffna itself. Hopefully, Tamils too would expunge this terrible shame from their community in short order, and join the mainstream of Sri Lankan society in this respect also.

Now did you really want me to expose these ugly things in this global blog? It is an unpleasant area that I wish you had not broached. People who live in glass houses should not throw stones at others!

Moshe Dyan said...

COL-19-53%-11
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-56%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-55%-4
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-30%-2
VAN-6-30%-2
BAT-5-15%-1
DIG-7-45%-3
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-63%-10
PUT-8-66%-6
ANU-9-65%-6
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-58%-5
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-68%-7
KEG-9-67%-6

total = 137 seats

Ananda-USA said...

Sujeewa,

For example, of the say 15% who did not vote, if 5% were UPFA voters and 10% were UNP voters, I think that would account for the low voting rate.

Moshe Dyan said...

we can know the composition of those who didn't vote for sure when the final result is declared.

agree with ananda, UNP suffered more from not voting than UPFA.

Moshe Dyan said...

who are these bloody racist boomiputera crap???

what madness is this!!

the joker should have contested from a main party.

Moshe Dyan said...

TMVP idiots spoiled their chances and a seat or two for UPFA also. how dumb.

what were they thinking.

Moshe Dyan said...

TMVP more than 11,000 votes in batti.

totally wasted!!

Diyasena said...

Moshe,

Looks like Kurunegala will be 11..

Moshe Dyan said...

diyas,

that's a tricky one!!

UNP is closer to the next seat than UPFA.

Diyasena said...

Moshe,

Re: Batti..

Man that is horrible the TMVP votes added to UPFA would have made the lead 16,000 and would have POSSIBLY WON BATTI FOR THE UPFA..The present lead of 5,000 will be surpassed by TNA in Padirippu, which is TNA territory..

Nevertheless I am impressed with Shivageetha..She seems quite popular in Batti

Diyasena said...

Moshe,

Re: Kurunegala..

You are right..My Bad :(

Ananda-USA said...

Diyasena said ...

[Moshe,

Looks like Kurunegala will be 11..]

Yup. That's what I estimated.

Moshe Dyan said...

so its sivageetha. that's the turnaround.

batti GENUINELY lacks development.

keeping batti seperate from jaffna would benefit ALL three parties. inexpereinced pillayan thought he could win batti all by himself.

now there will be problems in the eastern provincial council.

why is the kandy result getting delayed??

Diyasena said...

Moshe,

It's not only Kandy but Digamadulla and TCO as well..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Colombo after all results given:

51%-36%-12%
9.18[+1]-6.48-2.16
10-7-2

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Mshe;

Re: Bumiputhra

Check Kekirawa result

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

UPFA wins NE-Maskeliya

Moshe Dyan said...

sk,

yea, i did. disappointed with racism getting into politics.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Gampaha after all given:

63%-29%-7.5%
10.71[+1]-4.93-1.28
12-5-1

Anonymous said...

Moshe Dyan said...
sk,

yea, i did. disappointed with racism getting into politics.


LOL Moshe, racism is always in politics, you forget all the "T" parties ? :))

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Moshe;

There is no racism left with the remaining bumiputhra party., Maybe in few top seats. What tehy do right now is to go after famous ppl who didnt get nomination and try to field them as candidates. That is how I explain Kekirawa anomaly.

Diyasena said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Moshe Dyan said...

pol,

why should others also jump in???

this is not good.

that way patali champika ranawaka did a great thing by abandoning communalpolitics.

Moshe Dyan said...

sk,

hope it will end with kekirawa. but if that exhausts the JVP's seat in anuradhapura then there is some silver lining.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Batti extrapolated:

UPFA-ITAK-UNP-TMVP
38%-34%-15%-7.5%
[modified after remocing small parties]
40%-36%16%-8%
1.6[+1]-1.44-0.64-0.32
3-1-1-0

Note that in these regiuons final result may vary highly due to demographic variety


If above is right TMVP hasn't done any harm to no of seats, their effect is insignificant together or alone

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Administrators,

How about publishing an article, just some results from the election, as it takes a bit of time to get to the latest comments. I encountered some problems getting to the latest comments.

SR @ LK said...

Problems in Nawalapitiya delaying Kandy result. Same case for Trinco. Digamadulla takes time to count with that record length sheet!!

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Now this is the red cherry on top....

Jaffna Extrapolated:

ITAK-UPFA-UNP
43%-32%-9%
after removing small parties
51%-39%-10%
9 seats
4.08[+1]-3.12-0.8
5-3-1

The Akila party is very close to 5% and if they get that the overall numbers will be changed.

Diyasena said...

SK,

Expect TNA to do really well in Padirippu, which is the remaining electorate in Padirippu

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

SR@LK

That is why I started extrapolating... :)

We can issue final resultvwith +/- 1 seat or so.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

DiyaS;

0.6 vs 0.44 still I think the result will remain.

Ananda-USA said...

Diyasena asked ..

[Gampha looks like 13-5-1 (Just)
Kegalle 7-2..

Did I get it right guys??]

I have a problem with this also.

Gampaha is:

UPFA-UNP-DNA = 63.37%-28.65%-7.5%
Total= 99.52% neglecting others parties.
And total seats is 18

Ratio-ing & Round-ing:
(63.37/99.52)*18= 11.46 => 12 ??
(28.65/99.52)*18= 5.18 => 5
(7.50/99.52)*18= 1.36 => 1

UPFA= 12 + 1 = 13
UNP= 5
DNA = 1

I get 13-5-1 as you did.

But, 11.46 does not round up to 12 to get 12+5+1 = 18 !!

Diyasena said...

According to Adaderana Vajira Abeywardane will join Sagala R in the causalty list..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

This is for Kandy worriers.

Kandy [too early] extrapolated:

59%-36%-5%
6.49[+1]-3.96-0.55
7-4-1

Few concerns remain.

- Little number of electorates are published

- JVP is at 5.02% little less and they will be knocked out. Note taht village areas remain and JVP support is lesser in rural Kandy

- Even if they stay, teh remainders of JVP and UPFA is very close. We cannnot say whether it is 8-4 or 7-4-1 until last moment

- 8-4 in Kandy is magnificent. 2/3 there

SR @ LK said...

Anuradhapura 7:2 Island site is late in updating.

MD - you need to update the list

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ananda;

[[Ratio-ing & Round-ing:
(63.37/99.52)*18= 11.46 => 12 ??
(28.65/99.52)*18= 5.18 => 5
(7.50/99.52)*18= 1.36 => 1]]

You cannot do a rounding. It is wrong. Do following.

Also you do not divide by 18. It is 17. One is bonus.

- Take all full numbers and add. Substract that from the total. That is teh number of remainders.

- List teh decimal parts in decreasing order. The remainders are taken from that list.

it is a 12-5-1

Moshe Dyan said...

srlk,

thanks. so the boomiputhera guys busted the JVP's chances.

lol!!

here we go pending the final result of anuradhapura.

COL-19-51%-10
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-56%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-54%-4
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-30%-2
VAN-6-30%-2
BAT-5-25%-1
DIG-7-45%-3
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-64%-10
PUT-8-65%-6
ANU-9-69%-7
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-58%-5
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-69%-7
KEG-9-67%-6

total = 137

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

BTW fun is to do it all in head. I don't like calculators. There is a whole field which I call "approximate Arithmatic". Maybe oneday I shuld do a research thesis on that.

SR @ LK said...

MD:

Kegalle 7:2
Badulla 6:2

Anonymous said...

Going with the comparison on Adaderna there is a 60% turnout Vs 80% in the PE.


Whats pathetic is how our donkeys try and put spin on this.

SR @ LK said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
SR @ LK said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Diyasena said...

Lot of revising Moshe,

Kegalle- 7:2
Anu: 7:2
Digamadulla: 4 UPFA:2UNP: 1TNA

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Diyasena said...
Lot of revising Moshe,

Kegalle- 7:2
Anu: 7:2
Digamadulla: 4 UPFA:2UNP: 1TNA

If this is the final result, it looks brilliant. Just the one TNA seat. Wonder who got elected through the UNP?

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Diyasena said...

Island site not updating anymore (must have gone home after office hours)..Adaderana site crashed..So Election Department site the only option..

Moshe Dyan said...

srlk,

thanks. but badulla seems a bit way off????

updated with it.

COL-19-51%-10
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-56%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-54%-4
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-30%-2
VAN-6-30%-2
BAT-5-25%-1
DIG-7-45%-3
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-64%-10
PUT-8-65%-6
ANU-9-69%-7
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-65%-6
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-69%-7
KEG-9-69%-7

total = 139

Ananda-USA said...

Sujeewa,

1. Gampaha is allocated 18 seats, I posted the list at the blog before, or go and check at http://www.slelections.gov.lk/news.html .

2. I am not dividing by 18, but multiplying.

3. I understand 1 is a bonus that is added to the integral number of seats of the winning party.

4. Don't understand your explanation

[- Take all full numbers and add. Substract that from the total. That is teh number of remainders.

- List teh decimal parts in decreasing order. The remainders are taken from that list.] ; please show an example. Thx.

Moshe Dyan said...

ok, badulla confirmed!!

well done!!!

Anonymous said...

UPFA 61.23% - Votes - 4514148
UNP 29.58% - Votes - 2181064
DNA 5.76% - Votes - 424795
ITAK 1.77% - Votes - 130572 Other 1.66% - Votes - 122232


7 million have voted.
Compare that to PE where it was 10 million.

So i do not see it as "low voter turn out"???

Ananda-USA said...

Moshe,

You are creeping up slowly!

Expect to meet you at 146! LoL!

Diyasena said...

TTBO,

Probably SLMC guys from UNP..UPFA won Ampara, Samnthurai and Pottuvil with UNP (SLMC) winning Kalmunai

Ananda-USA said...

Diyasena,

Try this site ...

http://www.srilankanelections.com/results/results-main.shtml

Moshe Dyan said...

n'eliya results out.

looks like i will have adjust again by +1.

Diyasena said...

Nuwaraeliya

UPFA-5
UNP-2

More revising Moshe :)

Diyasena said...

TNA wins Batti by 4,000 votes..What a shame..If damn TMVP constested within UPFA it would go to UPFA by 16,000 votes..

Imagine the phsycological effect on Eeelamist if the entire East looked blue on the electoral map..

Moshe Dyan said...

ananda,

yes!!

but i think 140 is the NEW maximum.

:)

Moshe Dyan said...

COL-19-51%-10
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-56%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-59%-5
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-30%-2
VAN-6-30%-2
BAT-5-34%-1
DIG-7-45%-3
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-64%-10
PUT-8-65%-6
ANU-9-69%-7
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-65%-6
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-69%-7
KEG-9-69%-7


total = 140

Moshe Dyan said...

here we go again!!

COL-19-51%-10
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-56%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-59%-5
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-30%-2
VAN-6-30%-2
BAT-5-34%-1
DIG-7-51%-4
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-64%-10
PUT-8-65%-6
ANU-9-69%-7
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-65%-6
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-69%-7
KEG-9-69%-7

total = 141

Anonymous said...

Diyasena said...
TNA wins Batti by 4,000 votes..What a shame..If damn TMVP constested within UPFA it would go to UPFA by 16,000 votes..

Imagine the phsycological effect on Eeelamist if the entire East looked blue on the electoral map..


In a way that is a good thing.

It will push MR into colonisation. Other wise he will think all is good and not bother with recolonisation.

Ananda-USA said...

Diyasena,

Nuwaraeliya 5-2?

I get 4-3!

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Batti is out. Final. Wow. UPFA:3-ITAK:1-UNP:1. So much about racist ITAK. So much about TMVP power.

Nonracists win 4/5 in Batti.

All right Shitgeetha, I take it back. I thot you're political oblivion.

Yet, one woman squad Shitgeetha can't do it. What si teh Batti factor, I wonder.

Ananda-USA said...

Moshe,

[but i think 140 is the NEW maximum. ]

Famous last words, me thinks!

Diyasena said...

The DPLF is doing in Wanni, what TMVP did in Batti..Pathetic Ars*h*les..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ananda;

- There are 18 seats alltogether at vGampaha. One is Bonus. 17 are contested.

- So you shud multiply with 17 not 18.

- Finally winning party is added with bonus.

- Rest of your calculation is right.

- Try and see.

Moshe Dyan said...

sk,

what batti???

Moshe Dyan said...

ananda,

this is fun.

we are reaching NEW HEIGHTS!!!

:)

Moshe Dyan said...

diyas,

yea. those are other bloody idiots. lunatics never unite!!

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Out of the 40 independent groups in Digamadulla, the highest number of votes was 184 for one of the groups. Some had just 3 votes. Anyone knows the story behind so many independent groups?

Diyasena said...

Vannit ITAK 3: UPFA 2: UNP 1..

As I predicted DPLF ruined it..ITAK won by 3500..IF DPLF 4,900 added UPFA WOULD HAVE WON WANNI

Diyasena said...

So now only Kandy, TCO and Jaffna left..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ananda;

My way of doing it. == means approximated

(63.37 == 63.5/99.52 == 100)*17 = 10.79
(28.65 == 29/99.52 == 100)*17 = 4.93
(7.50 == 7.5/99.52 == 100)*17 = 1.27

So take complete numbers:
UPFA - 10, UNP - 4, DNA - 1

Bonus:
UPFA - 1

Remaining:
18-16 = 2.

Order decimals.

UNP - 0.93, UPFA = 0.79, DNA = 0.27

If teh remaning seats are one UNP gets it. If it is two both UNP and UPFA get the two. And that is the case.

So;

UPFA = 10+1+1
UNP = 4+1
DNA = 1

Moshe Dyan said...

COL-19-51%-10
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-56%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-59%-5
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-32%-3
VAN-6-35%-2
BAT-5-38%-2
DIG-7-51%-4
TRI-4-45%-1
KUR-15-64%-10
PUT-8-65%-6
ANU-9-69%-7
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-65%-6
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-69%-7
KEG-9-69%-7

total = 144

ananda is almost correct with his LATEST prediction.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

What is teh Batti factor

I meant what really made UPFA win batti. Batti = district of batti

දේශපාලුවා said...

Blogger Swarnajith Udana said...

According to Lankadeepa, MR.Evil Gobble, The Messiah of True Sun Gods and the Long beak gods has secured a seat from Matara.


The pain is unbearable.


----------------

Yes and the other CIA agent, AKD will get a national list position.

shit

Diyasena said...

Despite TNA winning 3 districts, what is heartening (and what should be cried out loud by the government) is TNA polled less than 50% in the North and only 30 in the east..

Sujeewa Kokawala said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Oh well. My mistake. So far I took that batti was won by UPFA. It was wrong.

:)

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Oh well. My mistake. So far I took that batti was won by UPFA. It was wrong.

:)

Moshe Dyan said...

TNA racists screwed in trinco!!

wow!!

but trincomalee electorate can change things. not very likely this time.

Diyasena said...

SK,

TNA won Batti..But I guess Shivageetha was the key to UPFA coming so close..

Anonymous said...

From Adaderana:

UPFA 60.60% - Votes - 4591054 / Seats - 113

UNP 29.09% - Votes - 2203691 / Seats - 45

DNA 5.63% - Votes - 426614 / Seats - 5

ITAK 2.70% - Votes - 204503 / Seats - 12

Other 1.99% - Votes - 150549 / Seats - 0

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Further more like somene said ITAK turned the table in Batti purely with Padiruppu. Before taht it was 3-1-1 for UPFA.

Diyasena said...

Moshe,

On your list,

TCO should be made 2 and Batti made 1...I reckon though that Kandy will be 8..However I predict 1 less national list (18 not 19)..Still the end result is 144.

Moshe Dyan said...

diyas,

for tco to be 2, UPFA MUST win it.

4 - 1 bonus seat = 3 to be won

its very difficult to win 2 out of 3.

Ananda-USA said...

Guys,

On the basis of released slelections.gov.lk data, and my estimations for unreleased Districts of Kandy, Jaffna and Trinco, the UPFA has 151 seats, counting 20 from the National list.

I will post my data below.

Diyasena said...

oshe,

I dont't see UNP or TNA closing the gap of 18,000 UPFA has thus far in trinco..

I reckon trinco will go
UPFA 2: UNP 1: TNA 1

Diyasena said...

Okay my final prediction,

UPFA 145 (127+18), UNP 59 (51+8), DNA 7 (5+2), TNA 14 (13+1)..

Moshe Dyan said...

COL-19-51%-10
GAM-18-63%-12
KAL-10-64%-7
MAH-12-58%-7
MAT-5-67%-4
NUW-7-59%-5
GAL-10-66%-7
MAT-8-65%-6
HAM-7-63%-5
JAF-9-32%-3
VAN-6-35%-2
BAT-5-37%-1
DIG-7-51%-4
TRI-4-46%-2
KUR-15-64%-10
PUT-8-65%-6
ANU-9-69%-7
POL-5-69%-4
BAD-8-65%-6
MON-5-76%-4
RAT-10-69%-7
KEG-9-69%-7

total = 144

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

This is teh simplest Parliament so far. UPFA, UNP, ITAK, DNA and taht's it.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Both predictions of Ananda are right and we are wrong.

1. UPFA getting close to 2/3 mark or surpassing it.

2. Racist T* M* voters swing towards UPFA.

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Sujeewa Kokawala said...
This is teh simplest Parliament so far. UPFA, UNP, ITAK, DNA and taht's it.

Well, UNP has SLMC and Mano gona.. from time to time they tend to act independently to the UNP, further eroding Ranil's power in parliament. With a few cross overs, there should be a 2/3rds for MR, who will have a golden opportunity to do a lot for the country.

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Damn DNA got 2 seats in Colombo

Thusitha said...

Diyasena said...
Okay my final prediction,

UPFA 145 (127+18), UNP 59 (51+8), DNA 7 (5+2), TNA 14 (13+1)..

---------------------------------
If this is the case, have to give Anandha the price. MD, your predictions sucks, you keep on revising up wards :)

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

So far for me, manape wise has not been good. Mongala in, Nimarl siripala in (highly corrupt individual), mervin in, SF in (i assume), Mano and Hakeem in (i assume)
My only hope is that Bogols is out

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Any chance of Sambanthan not topping the list in Trinco?

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sujeewa Kokawala said...

I still stand by my idea that 2/3 shudn't be given to a single political party.

Especially seeing the kinda rot ppl have chosen in pref votes.

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

FROM TAMILNET:

record number of candidates, numbering more than 1800 contested for the parliamentary seats in the North and East, but Eezham Tamils responded to it by a record low in participation. The turnout was only 18 percent in the North. The clear verdict of Eezham Tamils, said in the most profound democratic way under circumstances possible, is that they have no confidence in democracy under Sri Lankan State. Another interesting observation is that in the entire Jaffna district, the leading Tamil National Alliance (TNA) totally polled just 65,219, only as much as the 64,256 votes cast in favour of Vaddukkoaddai Resolution by the diaspora in UK alone. The silent but vast majority of Eezham Tamils at home demand new genre of political organisation and leadership is the message of Thursday's polls.

Moshe Dyan said...

thusitha,

look at the brighter side. number of seats go up, up and up!!

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Kandy W/o N'piyiya:

59%-36% [DNA drops below 5%]
(enhanced to 100%)
62%-38%
6.82[+1]-4.18
8-4

N'pitiya result won't make any change

Diyasena said...

Ananda Aiya,

1. UPFA lost Batti..
So that would read read 1-1-0-3
(-2 seats)

2. UPFA would need to win the remaining electorate of Nawalapitiya nearly by 100% to get a 9th seat in Kandy..So 8-4-00
(-1 seat)..

3. UPFA has just above 60% national vote..So they will get just above 60% (when votes of smaller parties polling less than 1% are removed) of the 29 national list seats..So 18-8-2-1
(-2 seats)

4. So the final result would likely be..
145-58-7-14

Very close to your initial predcition of 146..Well done :)
145-

Ananda-USA said...

Jaffna final results just released!

UPFA-UNP-DNA-ITAK = 3-1-5

as I had estimated in the list.
No change needed.

Moshe Dyan said...

funny conclusion by toiletnet.

diyas,

as expected all jaffna UPFA guys who won highest pref votes are from the EPDP.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Need lots of guts to challenge Ananda the bull's eye shooetr.

:)

---------------------

[[Kandy
(12) 9-3-0-0]]

This is impossible. Currently teh ratios are such taht UPFA get 8 with eth "remainder" seat.

It is quite unchanged for a 8-4, and N'pitiya result won't change.

[[Batticaloa
(5) 3-1-0-1]]

This is wrong.

You also fell into teh same trap as mine. Before Padiruppu this was teh district result. But after Padiruppu it was a 1-1-0-3. In 4000 votes TNA pocketed two extra seats. And fools of TMVP went home empty handed.


So I think the 150 will be a 147.

However, there is a rumor/news taht Earl Gunasekara is pocketed by UPFA. Plus Ranjith Madduma Bandara who is the sole UNP in M'gala is already chased by UNP.

So by tonight You have a 149 UPFA govt and there must be a long queue to be the last critical govt supporter.

Ane aliyata giya kala.

Anonymous said...

Hikz Hikz, 18% turnout in Tamil homoland.

They forget they ae still using the 1980s electoral list.

Same donkeys who voted in London can also vote in SL Hikz.

Why on 64,000 in UK? What happened to the 200,000 strong dei-ass-pora? Why they not vote?

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Ananda;

Kandy 9-3 is impossible.

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Tissa Attanayake thinks the UNP needs structural changes to the party!

How thick are these guys....?!?!?! Need to change the leader who has lost 30 plus elections over 16 years! Simple!

OneNation (formerly TTBO) said...

Any indications about who has won the manape battle in Colombo? Bogols and Moragoda out?

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ananda-USA said...

Guys,

ITAK got a total of 16 seats, and many will be held by the Tiger Nominated Agents of the TNA.

I don't like that at all; they got too many seats in one block!

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Guys,

Shall we share our links with pref votes.

I only know taht Lankadeepa.lk has.

Ananda-USA said...

Diyasena Malli,

Thanks for pointing out the errors in the final list .. I corrected them.

But, I did not change the Kandy seats from 9-3-0-0 to 8-4-0-0 .. I would like to wait on that until the final data arrive. Also, I did not reduce the national list seats until I am certain of the calculation they will use.

So, I leave the total seat count at
UPFA-UNP-DNA-ITAK = 148-50-5-16
for now.

Thanks again for the help from you and all my other patriot friends .. it has been great fun playing General Elections with all of you!

Apey Dayabara Dilihena Maubimata Ediriyatath JAYAWEWA!


Ratna Deepa Janma Bhumi
Lanka Deepa Vijaya Bhumi
Me' Ape' Udaara Wu
Mathru Bhumi-yayi
Mathru Bhumi-yayi

Repeat Chorus

Aadi Sinhale' Ae' Vira Meemuthun Layin
Saara Wu Udaara Wu
Mathru Bhumi-yayi
Mathru Bhumi-yayi

Maanikyase' Pologabee' Nidhana Vee
Aththe' Ae' Abheetha Du Puthun
Jathiye' Naamayen Sangrama Bhumiye'
Jeewithe' Puda Heluu Lay Kandai

Chorus

Sindhupamana Wavu Thala Mathin Adee'
Padma Renuwen Sugandha Vee
Ran Karal Namaa Hamaa
Sith Prabhodayen Puraa
Enne' Un Helu Prana Vayuwai

Chorus

Ganga Tharanga Raawa Dee Ridee Vanin
Mal Pipee Kolen Kole' Hapee
Gayana Karanne' Aakasaye' Nagee
Virayange' Ae' Yaso Geetha-yayi

Chorus

Aadi Sinhale' Ae' Vira Meemuthun Layin
Saara Wu Udaara Wu
Mathru Bhumi-yayi
Mathru Bhumi-yayi

Ratna Deepa Janma Bhumi
Lanka Deepa Vijaya Bhumi
Me' Ape' Udara Wu
Mathru Bhumi-yayi
Mathru Bhumi-yayi!

Ananda-USA said...

Useful General Election Data Links:

http://www.slelections.gov.lk/parliamentary_elections/TRINCOMALEE.html

http://www.srilankanelections.com/results/results-main.shtml


http://www.colombopage.com/archive_10/Apr1270780987CH.php

Diyasena said...

Ananda aiya,

With Kandy reuslts lets just WAIT AND SEE (TM) :)

The 29 national list seats are accorded based on the national vote percentage..So naturally UNP (8) and JVP (2) will get the 2nd and 3rd highest national list seats..TNA will get only one (as they have around only 2% nationally) bringing their total to 14..

The result indeed is remarkable..Note that under a first past the post system UPFA would have got more than UNP did in 1977..So indeed a great day..

MAGE MAATHRU BHOOMIYA DINEWA..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v5umbZLfYrc

Totally love this chick

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ananda-USA said...

Diyasena Malli,

Thanks for explaining the National List calculation ... again.

I now agree with you. I reposted the data list with your estimate of 18-8-2-1 for the National List seat distribution.

It is 7.00AM now .. time to go to sleep .. smiling! :)

Thanks!

Ananda-USA said...

All Released Data on SEATS except Kandy and Trinco which are Estimated from vote statistics

............
DISTRICT
(ALL)UPFA-UNP-DNA-ITAK
Colombo
(19) 10-7-2-0
Gampaha
(18) 12-5-1-0
Kalutara
(10) 7-2-1-0
Kandy
(12) 9-3-0-0
Matale
(5) 4-1-0-0
NuwaraEliya
(7) 5-2-0-0
Galle
(10) 7-2-1-0
Matara
(8) 6-2-0-0
Hambantota
(7)5-2-0-0
Jaffna
(9) 3-1-0-5
Vanni
(6) 2-1-0-3
Batticaloa
(5) 1-1-0-3
Digamadulla
(7) 4-2-0-1
Trincomalee
(4) 2-1-0-1
Kurunegala
(15) 10-5-0-0
Puttalam
(8) 6-2-0-0
Anuradhapura
(9) 7-2-0-0
Polonnaruva
(5) 4-1-0-0
Badulla
(8)6-2-0-0
Moneragala
(5) 4-1-0-0
Ratnapura
(10)7-3-0-0
Kegalle
(9)7-2-0-0
TOTAL
(196) 128-50-5-13
National List
(29) 18-8-2-1
Grand Total
(225) 146-58-7-14

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Some funny reactions. Pls feel free to leave a comment in these blogs.

Antharjaalaya dayata daayaada kala Ranil

When they can't bear the loss they end up writing jokes

Trying to salvage the stupidity of voting lunatics

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Wimal’s ‘panchayudaya’ seems to be yielding results


Though results of the 2010 general elections for the Colombo district are yet to be officially announced, sources told Adaderana that Wimal Weerawansa from the United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA) seems to be leading the way in preference votes with a high margin.


Following him are three others, a veteran in politics and former Minister Dinesh Gunawardene and two relatively new comers also from the UPFA, former Minister Patali Champika Ranawaka and former Western Provincial Councillor Duminda R. Silva, the same sources said.

Thusitha said...

SK,

So by tonight You have a 149 UPFA govt and there must be a long queue to be the last critical govt supporter.

Ane aliyata giya kala.

---------------------------------
SK,
That would be great. Some might have reservations about giving UPFA the 2/3 rds, but I would rather give them the chance and see what happens. That is the least we can do. It is unlikely MR would abuse the power when every one put so much trust in him.

Thusitha said...

Ananda-USA said...

It is 7.00AM now .. time to go to sleep .. smiling! :)

---------------------------------
Thanks Anandha, MD and SK ... and the rest for giving up to date results. Would be able to sleep well today.

දේශපාලුවා said...

Fonseka send a letter to major news papers, one week after the election.

"95% of DNA votes were won by me"


Anura K interviews next day.

"You cannot calculate percentages for each person"


Interesting times will follow

Unknown said...

Here's an article about the ROE of the ever so democratic and freedom loving US forces in Iraq and Afghanistan..

These bloody idiots have the nerve to preach us about HR.

http://www.truthout.org/iraq-war-vet-we-were-told-just-shoot-people-and-officers-would-take-care-us58378

Goolge said...

MR discussed new cabinet.

http://www.dailymirror.lk/index.php/news/3003-mr-discusses-cabinet.html

BTW it's been fascinating watching you guys do the math!

දේශපාලුවා said...

UPFA+ Ranjith Maddumabandara + Earl Gunasekara + Vasantha Aluwihare + Lakshman Senevirathna?

Moshe Dyan said...

with hopes of large scale and swift colonization schemes pretty soon, i retire.

good night and god bless you patriots. jayawewa!

දේශපාලුවා said...

Blogger Moshe Dyan said...

with hopes of large scale and swift colonization schemes pretty soon,

-------------

Prepare to be disappointed MD "pretty soon".

It should be a much more subtle and long term process.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Looks like our prediction for Colombo is right.

----------------

Rohitha Bogollagama losing in Colombo?

April 9, 2010 10:03 pm
Bookmark and Share

With former Foreign Minister Rohitha Bogollagama being apparently left out of the preference vote list in the Colombo district, he has raised objections and urged for a recount of the votes, Adaderana reliably understands.

A difference of opinion had occurred between former Education Minister Susil Premajayantha and Mr. Bogollagama, leading to the recount, sources said.

Meanwhile, among those among the fortunate to fall within the selected 10 among the United Peoples Freedom Alliance (UPFA) list are Wimal Weerawansa who is topping the list with more that 200,000 preferences, Duminda Silva, Patali Champika Ranawaka, Dinesh Gunawardene, Bandula Gunawardene, Thilanga Sumathipala, Jeewan Kumaratunga, A.H.M. Fowzie, Susil Premajayantha and Gamini Lokuge.

Sources said that Rohitha Bogollagama and Milinda Moragoda had apparently failed to make it into the top ten in this general elections.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Thusitha;

[[That would be great. Some might have reservations about giving UPFA the 2/3 rds, but I would rather give them the chance and see what happens. That is the least we can do. It is unlikely MR would abuse the power when every one put so much trust in him.]]

Well I am one. I do not agree with current admin for many things. But I support them for the national security and development. And I do not see what gain we get in such with 2/3 or what we loose w/o 2/3.

First and foremost the most spoken need of 2/3, to change the exe prez and pref votes. But my question is change into what? Both those systems have provided string leadership. Before them we had political fluctuations and lost critical positions to eelamists due to the weakness. Pref vote system has weaknesses, and it corrupts the system. But I cant see how changing it would groom good politicians suddenly.

And pref system does not always create a weaker parliament. At a time ther was no diff between CBK and RW it came to a bad-bad power balance. But like MR proved today, a good govt can win ppl's hearts and gain clear majority.

But there is another risk. The devloution of whatever will surely be granted in teh life time of this parliament. There will be some "solution" penned by them. Most likely it will be a socialist lunatic who wrotes it. We saw how Tissa Vitharak-dena solutions dominated APC. I don't want any such, with notable pressure of India to be passed so easily. If remaining patriots oppose govt can freely drop them and go ahead. ITAK has 14 proven eelamists on top of whom UNP has a whole reserve. JVP which still did not directly do such sin, has just lost teh control, for their own stupidity and hunger.

As you can see I do not have that huge Faith in MR always to be benevolent on this matter. I have this feeling due to his past plus my understanding of SL politics.

The only proper solutiopn taht does not lead towards separation is recolonization. I do not see it ever happening under this govt.. It may slightly and secretly like it and m,ake way with projects for natural migration. But a broad and open janapadakaranaya will not be organized. Also there is likelyhood for such to be blocked.

I want the ppl who support such moves to be important for teh govt. With such power they loose the control and become irrelevant.

Then comes the nepotism, and corruption issues. Time has come for MR to reduice these and be more accountable. With 2/3 all waht we will get is little more freedom. Extra methods to shut and concerned parties.

And now again, I do not see what magic the 2/3 can bring us, other than constituitional changes. Unlike most who worry about Britain getting a heart attack when we have an exe prez, I see nothing wrong in those.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Let's summarize the day of change

Surprise big loss:
Galle lost Vajira Abeywardena
Matara lost Sagala [thol rathu gang man, no real big guy, just inflated]
NE lost Renuka

Expected big loss:
Colombo loosing Boggles, Milinda M

Seenibola public verdict:
Gampaha second Paba aka Upeksha
Matara top Sanath

Most intelligent choices:
WW, CR, Athuraliya R thero, Dinesh
We do not have one more to make Jathiye true Panchayudhaya.

Most stupid choices:
Mervin Gampaha 3rd [150k] and Muthu galle first [125k].
Ath deken vedi thiyana gang. Ppl who voted these can never complain for law and order failures.

Least worried campaigner:
Sanath Jayasuriya.
Rare man who finds other things more interesting than politics.

Star to supernova:
Geetha second best looser in Galle
Sussie best looser in Kegalle

Biggest Joke:
Monaragala ppl voting the man whom RW begged not to vote. And sending the other such man to next bestv place.

Best camouflage:
NE's UNP man Sri Ranga Jeyaratnam is none other than MBC/Shakthi's J Sri Ranga, teh presenter of Minnal, where he was persecuted for discussing matters supporting pussycats [alleged] and claims he was threatened for life.

Political Oblivion:
Anal-Sangaree, breakaway ultra eelamists of former TNA, Most corssers from UNP, Wikarabahu[for teh umpteenth time]
JVP

Result won't tell:
How little the ITAK differed from UPFA in predominantly tamil regions, yet they won many seats that UPFA there.

Upside Down:
NE result

Arrogant Fools of the election:
TMVP and DPLF both support govt but came alone to get rejected by ppl. Had they contested with govt they had chance for more seats and govt cud have won both districts.



Anomaly:
Kekirawa, Bumiputhra getting 25%.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Goolge said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Goolge said...

Sujeewa,

Nice summary - "executive style"!

Check this out - this is a summary of losers, from lankacnews (WW's site) with photos.

මේ හැමෝම පරාදයි
Friday, 09 April 2010 20:57 lanka C news
E-mail Print PDF

මෙවර මැතිවරණයේදී හිටපු ප‍්‍රබල මන්ත‍්‍රීවරු හා ජනප‍්‍රිය චරිත කිහිපයටම ප‍්‍රමාණවත් මනාප නොලැබීම නිසා මන්ත‍්‍රීධූර ලබාගැනීමට නොහැකිවී ඇත.ඒ අය අතර රෝහිත බෝගොල්ලාගම, ගාමිණි ලොකුගේ, මිලින්ද මොරගොඩ, මනෝ විජේරත්න, සුදර්මන් රදලියගොඩ, සුසිල් කිඳෙල්පිටිය, ගම්පහින් කරු ජයසූරිය, දොස්තර ජයලත් ජයවර්ධන, ජෝන් අමරතුංග කෑගල්ල ජානිපෙ අපේක්‍ෂක බුද්ධදාස විතානාච්ච්, කළුතර නන්දන ගුණතිලක, මහනුවර දිස්ත‍්‍රික්කයට එජාපෙන් තරඟ කළ ප‍්‍රජාතන්ත‍්‍රවාදී ජනතා පෙරමුණේ නායක මනෝ ගනේෂන්, නුවර එළියේ එජාප අපේක්‍ෂිකා රේණුකා හේරත්, එජනිස ගාල්ල අපේක්‍ෂිකා සිනමා නිළි ගීතා කුමාරසිංහ, බද්දේගම සමිත හිමි, එජාප ගාල්ල අපේක්‍ෂක වජිර අබේවර්ධන මාතරින් සාගල රත්නායක, එජනිස කෑගල්ල අපේක්‍ෂිකා සුසන්තිකා ජයසිංහ, එජාප බදුල්ල අපේක්‍ෂක රවීන්ද්‍ර සමරවීර ආදීහුද ජවිපෙ අනුරාධපුර අපේක්‍ෂක කේඞී ලාල් කාන්තද, ජවිපෙ කුරුණෑගල අපේක්‍ෂක බිමල් රත්නායකද වෙති.

Ananda-USA said...

Sujeewa,

Great Resume of the GE!

Send it to The Island newspaper!

Ananda-USA said...

Government Ministers losing seats in Sri Lanka election

ColomboPage News Desk, Sri Lanka.

Apr 10, Colombo: While preferential votes in Sri Lanka parliamentary elections are still being released and two more districts are to have re-polls due to election violations some upsets are beginning to appear in the political landscape.

According to the preferential votes results the leader of the National Democratic Front Wimal Weerawansa has topped the list securing over 200,000 votes. The Environment Minister Patali Champika Ranawaka of the Buddhist nationalist party Jathika Hela Urumaya has come in second place with Minister Dinesh Gunawardena following him at the third position.

Reportedly the Foreign Minister Rohitha Bogollagama and Justice Minister Milinda Moragoda, both crossovers from the United National Party, have failed to secure a place in the preferential votes list.

The Cricket legend Sanath Jayasuriya was the highest preferential vote taker in Matara District and enters the parliament as a newcomer while his former captain of the World Cup winning cricket team Arjuna Ranatunga who was a minister in the Alliance government has won his seat in Kalutara District contesting under Democratic National Alliance led by General Sarath Fonseka.

Main opposition United National Party (UNP) leader Ranil Wickremasinghe contesting from Colombo District received the most preferential votes from the opposition. Former Mrs. Sri Lanka and Ambassador to Malaysia Rosie Senanayake too has received the most preferential votes from Colombo.

In Gampaha district Senior Adviser to the President and his brother Basil Rajapaksa has secured the most preferential votes while the Dr. Sudarshani Fernandopulle, widow of Late Minister Jeyaraj Fernandopulle has come in second. The controversial Labor Minister Dr. Mervyn de Silva is reportedly the third in the list.

Both senior ministers Maithripala Sirisena from Polonnaruwa District and Nimal Siripala de Siva fro Badulla District have topped their lists. Minister Nandana Gunathilaka, meanwhile, has lost his seat in Kalutara.

In Ratnapura District Minister Vasudeva Nanayakkara has secured his place in the parliament but Minister Mahinda Rathnatileka has reportedly lost his seat.

In Batticaloa, the Chief Minister Sivanesathurai Chandrakanthan's Thamil Makkal Viduthalai Pulikal received only 9.35% of the votes and failed to secure a single seat. Tamil National Alliance party Ilankai Tamil Arasu Kadchi (ITAK) dominated both Eastern and Northern Provinces securing a total of 12 seats in the new parliament.

Complete results of the 2010 parliamentary election will not be released until the re-polls are held in Kandy and Trincomalee districts.

Ananda-USA said...

I want to express my undiluted admiration for the INDEFATIGABLE Moshe Dayan .. a Patriot to the CORE .. who led the way in the General Election estimations at this blog!

Thanks, Moshe!

Apey Moshe Dayan Deshapremi Sahodarayata, Jayawewa!

Ananda-USA said...

MR cooking a Smaller Cabinet to meet our wishes!

.................
Sri Lanka President discusses selection of new cabinet

ColomboPage News Desk, Sri Lanka.

Apr 09, Colombo: With a resounding victory for his party in the 2010 parliamentary elections 2010, jubilant President Mahinda Rajapaksa has initiated consultations with his trusted top advisers on the selection of his new cabinet for early and efficient implementation of the "Mahinda Chinthana Idiri Dekma" programs.

A relaxed President Rajapaksa was seen having discussions with Secretary to the President Lalith Weerathunge, Finance Secretary Dr. P.B. Jayasundara, and President's Additional Secretary Gamini Senarath at the President's House this evening.

The President has promised to reduce the size of the cabinet and limit the number of ministers to 35.

Sam Perera said...

It seems that crossover engineering will not be necessary at all for stable governance. However, correcting the JRJ constitutional mess needs some negotiations. Even that may not be a problem if we can convince the others of value of undoing the JRJ mess.

Sam Perera said...

It will be very nice if we can undo all JRJ screwups in a few years.

Thusitha said...

Rajapaksa should reach out to Tamils after election: Blake

internally displaced people that are now in camps… be allowed to go back to their homes.” Mr. Blake added that there were approximately 100,000 IDPs.
----------------------------------
Here we go, Blake started braying again. We have this amount of people in our camps because we don't light them and smoke them up. If we follow the U.S. ultra humane policies, there wouldn't be anyone left.

Nisal said...

මේ පරාජයට රනිල් වගකිව යුතුයි

- රංජිත් මද්දුමබණ්ඩාර

මොනරාගල ජනතාව එ.ජා.ප. නායකයාත් ප්‍රතික්ෂේප කරමින් තමා මන්ත්‍රී ධූරයට ඔසවා තැබීම ගැන මොනරාගල හිතවත් ඥාති මිත්‍ර සියලු දෙනාට ආචාර කරනවා.

එ.ජා.ප.ය මේ මැතිවරණයෙන් ලැබූ පරාජයට හේතුව රනිල් - මංගල සන්ධානයයි. පක්ෂය පරාජය වුණේ මේ නායකයා නිසයි. මේ නායකයා නිසා අපට මොනරාගල ගන්න තිබුණ මන්ත්‍රී ආසන 2 එකට බැස්සා.

මා එ.ජා.ප.යෙන් අස්කරන්න කාටවත් බැහැ. මම එ.ජා.ප.ය දාල යන්නෙත් නැහැ.

මේ පක්ෂ නායකයා මොනරාගලට ඇවිත් කිව්වා මට ඡන්දෙ දෙන්න එපා කියලා. ඒ රනිල් වික්‍රමසිංහ මේ මොනරාගල ජනතාවත් ප්‍රතික්ෂේප කරල මා මන්ත්‍රී ධූරයට පත් කර තියෙනවා. මේ නිසා ඌව වෙල්ලස්ස ජනතාවගෙන් එ.ජා.ප. පාක්ෂිකයන්ගෙන් සමාව ගත යුතුයි.

අපි කාගෙවත් ඔඩොක්කු කුක්කන්ට ඉස්සරහට මොනරාගලට ඇඟිලි ගහන්න ඉඩ දෙන්නේ නැහැ. මම පක්ෂයේ රැඳී සිටිමින් එ.ජා.ප.ය දිනවන්න කටයුතු කරනවා.

source: silumina

Moshe Dyan said...

desha,

"It should be a much more subtle and long term process."

then expect a TOTAL swap of the election results in 2016.

UNP - 144
UPFA - 35
JVP - 20
TNA - 23
others - 3

there is no time to waste. it must happen SOON or else it won't work.

DSS didn't waste time. JRJ too didn;t waste time!!

Moshe Dyan said...

ananda,

cheers!!

this should end our POLITICAL SUPPORT for the UPFA. now onwards it's only demands. fullfill them and survive, or do BS and get lost in 2016 or preferably BEFORE!!!

Moshe Dyan said...

b(loody)lake, tell that to the TNA. resettling ppl is NOT a priority for TNA. their priority is to extort a federal system ASAP.

Moshe Dyan said...

b(loody)lake, tell that to the TNA. resettling ppl is NOT a priority for TNA. their priority is to extort a federal system ASAP.

Sam Perera said...

Ananda,

Your nice poem is already in LankaWeb. Pleas expect Jay-Han and Pakis to comments about it. Then again, who gives a damn about what these donkey-monkey-parrot hybrids say.

Rathnadeepa Janmabhumi
Lankadeepa Vijayabhumi
Mae Apay Udaarawu Mathurubhumiyai!

PS:

It is a moment to remember the great warriors of SL Armed Forces who made untold sacrifices to save the nation from clutches of terror.

It is a moment to remember the great warriors of SL Armed Forces who made the ultimate sacrifice to save the nation from clutches of terror.

Sam Perera said...

Moshe,

Does Robert Blake the bastard think that we give a rat's ass about what he wants. I wish that somebody like Wimal Weerawansa just tell this bastard that the patriots elected the government to serve the patriotic wishes, not what meddling diplomatic a-holes want.

Sam Perera said...

As Moshe says, the patriots have shown the direction the government needs to go. It is President Rajapakse and his government's patriotic duty now to carry on the patriotic wishes to the letter.

Pinketha Hela Randeranay Yaliupadinnata Hethuwasanawewa!

Sam Perera said...

I can almost hear Blake and Butenis licking the wounds from PE. We shall not spare anything to resist these diplomatic meddlers now on.

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